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This paper implements a structural model of the yield curve with data on nominal positions and survey forecasts. Bond prices are characterized in terms of investors' current portfolio holdings as well as their subjective beliefs about future bond payoffs. Risk premia measured by an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292351
This paper uses new household survey data to study expectation formation during the recent housing boom in Germany. The cross section of forecasts depends on only two household characteristics: location and tenure. The average household in a region responds to local conditions but underpredicts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012623132
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We review the recent literature on the determinants and effects of housing market expectations. We begin by providing an overview of existing surveys that elicit housing market expectations, and discuss how those surveys may be expanded in the future. We then document a number of facts about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013266630
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Die Erfolgswirkungen des Human- und Organisationskapitals werden bislang mit Daten von Unternehmen aus mehreren Branchen untersucht. Dem überlegen wäre eine branchenfokussierte, insider-ökonometrische Forschungsstrategie. Dies wird anhand der veröffentlichten Studien begründet und mit einer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292536
This paper presents a framework for analysing the effects of economic development in Eastern Europe on Austria's regions. Therefore we concentrate on the effects of enhanced East-West trade, which results from the economic development in the transition countries. The analytical framework we use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305802
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Der vorliegende Beitrag argumentiert, daß die regionale Arbeitsmarktsituation (Zugänge in Arbeitslosigkeit und Zugänge an freien Stellen) die Entscheidung von Arbeitnehmern, eine Kündigungsschutzklage einzureichen, deutlich beeinflußt. Regressionsanalysen mit amtlichen Daten für die...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307117