Showing 1 - 10 of 1,513
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807281
evaluated by computing "news" on the basis of an evolving conditioning information set. The marginal contribution is then split …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604679
judgement, but it does it in a fully automatic way. In particular, it provides an explicit link between the news in consecutive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605321
Using a unique dataset of 22.5 million news articles from the Dow Jones Newswires Archive, we perform an in depth real …-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer forecasting literature …, namely the FRED-MD dataset. Focusing on U.S. GDP, consumption and investment growth, our results suggest that the news data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425545
Using a unique dataset of 22.5 million news articles from the Dow Jones Newswires Archive, we perform an in depth real …-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer forecasting literature …, namely the FRED-MD dataset. Focusing on U.S. GDP, consumption and investment growth, our results suggest that the news data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661568
We analyze the exchange rate forecasting performance under the assumption of selective attention. Although currency … information. Our analysis includes more than 100,000 news articles relevant to the six most-traded foreign exchange currency pairs … for the presence of selective attention offer improved fitting and forecasting results. Specifically, we document a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012695515
Releases of the GDP are subject to revisions over time. This paper examines the predictability of German GDP revisions using forecast rationality tests. Previous studies of German GDP covering data until 1997 finds that revisions of real seasonally adjusted GDP are predictable. This paper uses a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280790
We analyze the exchange rate forecasting performance under the assumption of selective attention. Although currency … information. Our analysis includes more than 100,000 news articles relevant to the six most-traded foreign exchange currency pairs … for the presence of selective attention offer improved fitting and forecasting results. Specifically, we document a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012581964
wholesale power markets have only recently been deregulated. We introduce the weather factor into well-known forecasting models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325407
This paper elaborates on the link between financial market volatility and real economic activity. Using monthly data … the future stance of the business cycle and on the volatility of industrial production. The results of our empirical … investigation lead us to reject the hypothesis that financial market volatility causes the cycle or real volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275423