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The Fisher relation played a very different role in debates surrounding the Great Depression and the more recent Great Recession. This paper explores some of these differences, and suggests an explanation for them derived from a sketch of the idea's evolution between the two events, thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291897
inflation under control, and by the adoption of monetary rules tied to expectations rather than current macroeconomic conditions …This paper studies the role of expectations and monetary policy on the economy's response to climate actions. We show … mitigation tool, with a carbon tax entailing more emissions uncertainty than in a rational expectations model and a cap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471613
reference to the quantity of money.Following up the finding that inflation is determined in a coordination game, it is …. Central banks could thus be shown to be able to influence inflation rates, although the quantity of money plays no part in …This paper presents a model that pictures how inflation is determined in a decentralized market process where prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208483
The global financial crisis and the ensuing criticism of macroeconomics have inspired researchers to explore new modeling approaches. There are many new models that deliver improved estimates of the transmission of macroeconomic policies and aim to better integrate the financial sector in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011527565
This paper presents empirical evidence of the role of financial conditions in China's business cycle. We estimate a Bayesian-VAR for the Chinese economy, incorporating a financial conditions index for China that captures movements across a range of financial variables, including interest rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142088
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368564
-kinked demand schedule for goods produced by firms. Our model can jointly account for the modest decline in inflation during the … Great Recession and the surge in inflation post-COVID-19. Because our model implies a stronger transmission of shocks when … inflation is high, it generates conditional heteroskedasticity in inflation and inflation risk. Hence, our model can generate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544443
aggregate demand gains momentum. If inflation also has inertia, the central bank still overheats the economy during the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177637
, ut*, in the aftermath of the pandemic and characterize its implications for inflation dynamics. While the bulk of the … inflation surge is attributed to temporary supply factors, we also find an important role for current and expected negative …-run price stability depends critically on expectations about labor market tightness. Using a variety of cross-sectional data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581875
The way in which individual expectations shape aggregate macroeconomic variables is crucial for the transmission and … effectiveness of monetary policy. We study the individual expectations formation process and the interaction with monetary policy … heterogeneous expectations model with a performance-based evolutionary selection among heterogeneous forecasting heuristics to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326142