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interest rate, the study found evidence for the popular Fisher's effect and, then, suggested that inflation targeting should be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547759
Whenever inflation rears its head, the call soon comes to raise interest rates. The rationale is simple. Higher … interest rates put a damper on the supply of money. And this monetary clamp slows inflation. It’s so intuitive that it must be … inflation. Yet the evidence demonstrates that the opposite is true: higher interest rates are associated with higher inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013541619
This article considers the current economic situation from the lens of modern money theory (MMT) and expresses a policy response rooted in post-Keynesian theory and empirical data for the US and the euro area. First, MMT supports targeted deficit spending to promote production. Increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014481020
According to several empirical studies, US inflation and nominal interest rates, as well as the real interest rate, can … be described as unit root processes.These results imply that nominal interest rates and expected inflation do not move … the three-month treasury bill rate and inflation share a common nonlinear component that explains a large part of their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147856
This paper develops a small open economy (SOE) dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that helps to explain business cycle synchronization between an emerging market and advanced economies. The model captures the specificities of both economies (e.g. primary commodity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052808
This paper identifies a precautionary banking liquidity shock via a set of sign, zero and forecast variance restrictions imposed. The shock proxies the reluctance of the banking sector to "lend" to the real economy induced by an exogenous change in financial intermediaries' preference for "high"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012876010
This paper identifies a precautionary banking liquidity shock via a set of sign, zero and forecast variance restrictions imposed. The shock proxies the banking sector's reluctance to lend to the real economy induced by an exogenous preference change for liquid assets. Through the lens of a DSGE...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012632159
Central banks have usually employed short-term rates as the main instrument of monetary policy. In the last decades, however, forward guidance has also become a central tool for monetary policy. In an innovative way this paper combines two sources of extraneous information - high frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012670875
On 5-6 September 2012 SUERF held its 30th Colloquium “States, Banks, and the Financing of the Economy” at the University of Zürich, Switzerland. The papers included in this SUERF Study are based on contributions to the Colloquium. All the papers in this publication discuss from different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689959
In this paper, we examine the role of global and domestic credit supply shocks in macroeconomic fluctuations for Emerging Markets. For this purpose, we impose a set of zero and sign restrictions within a medium-scale Bayesian Vector Auto-Regressive model. Quarterly data from South Africa and G-7...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317005