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We use point processes to analyze market order arrivals on the intraday market for hourly electricity deliveries in Germany in the second quarter of 2015. As we distinguish between buys and sells, we work in a multivariate setting. We model the arrivals with a Hawkes process whose baseline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611718
Using Credit Default Swap spreads, we construct a forward-looking, market-implied carbon risk factor and show that carbon risk affects firms' credit spread. The effect is larger for European than North American firms and varies substantially across industries, suggesting the market recognises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470275
We model the logarithm of the spot price of electricity with a normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) process and the wind speed and wind power production with two Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. In order to reproduce the correlation between the spot price and the wind power production, namely between a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996614
These Proceedings offer a selection of peer-reviewed research and survey papers by some of the foremost international researchers in the fields of finance, energy, stochastics and risk, who present their latest findings on topical problems. The papers cover the areas of stochastic modeling in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011902341
Spot option prices, forwards and options on forwards relevant for the commodity markets are computed when the underlying process S is modelled as an exponential of a process xi with memory as, e.g., a Volterra equation driven by a Levy process. Moreover, the interest rate and a risk premium rho...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200543