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We assess whether the euro had an impact first on the degree of integration of European financial markets, and, second …, on the euro area term structure. We propose two methodologies to measure integration: one relies on time-varying GARCH … movements in both equity and bond euro area markets, suggesting that integration has progressed since the introduction of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604644
This paper employs a Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) consistent shadow-rate model to decompose UK nominal yields into expectation and term premia components. Compared to a standard affine term structure model, it performs relatively better in a ZLB setting and effectively captures the countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380975
At the beginning of 1999 the euro was launched as a common currency in 11 European countries. This paper addresses … empirically the medium to long-term forces driving the real euro-dollar exchange rate. Constructing a synthetic euro … determinants of the real euro-dollar exchange rate: the international real interest rate differential, relative prices in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295690
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market's rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012658011
Although recent research shows that the euro has spurred cross-border financial integration, the exact mechanisms … remain unknown. We investigate the underlying channels of the euro’s effect on financial integration using data on bilateral … euro’s impact on financial integration is primarily driven by eliminating the currency risk. Legislative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605262
We develop a dynamic model of a BHC that encompasses both a trading desk and a loan desk, and explore the role of risk attitude and overleveraging by the trading desk. We trace the impact of monetary policy and market innovations on bank behavior in the presence of Basel III type regulations. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014332407
technology fundamentals. Negative volatility-price dependence arises if the market dynamics is accounted for by common shocks …The evidence of volatility-price dependence observed in previous works (Karakatsani and Bunn 2004; Bottazzi, Sapio and … Secchi 2005; Simonsen 2005) suggests that there is more to volatility than simply spikes. Volatility is found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328635
Do exchange rate regimes affect the conditions under which developed countries borrow? This paper argues that they do, but their impact on yields depends on the prevailing macroeconomic context. When investors regard inflation as the most relevant risk to bond holdings, monetary union has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013413634
1) The Adoption of the Euro by New Member States: Challenges and Vulnerabilities by Michael C. Bonello 2) The Economics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689927
Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538019