In this paper we examine the effects of media coverage of commodity prices increases and decreases on the price of the … commodity and how media coverage in other commodities affects prices. We provide evidence of the relationship between media … correlated with the media coverage of up movements, or increase in prices. The direction of the correlation is robust and …

cycle. The oil price and other raw material prices also play a key role in the economic development and there is a co … information criteria. Then one-step ahead forecasts have been generated. It was found, that the ARs generate the best forecasts at …

question is whether such rules-of-thumb should draw on policymakers' forecasts of key variables such as inflation and …

The study analyses the characteristics of professional exchange rate forecasts for the €/US-$ rate. The results … indicate that the quality of forecasts produced by profes-sional economists is rather poor and incompatible with the rational … expectations hy-pothesis. This dismal result is according to our analysis attributed to the fact that professional forecasts are to …

The necessity of improving the forecasts accuracy grew in the context of ac- tual economic crisis, but few researchers … inflation rate forecasts on the horizon 2010 - 2012, we proved that the one-step-ahead forecasts based on updated AR(2) models … constructing the forecasts, by using the limits of the bias- corrected-accelerated bootstrap intervals for the initial data series …

forecasts made for Romanian by three experts in forecasting: F1, F2 and F3. All the unemployment rate forecasts over the horizon …-Timmermann test, the directional forecasts of F3 and the autumn expectations of F2 are useful and rational. …

cycle. The oil price and other raw material prices also play a key role in the economic development and there is a … information criteria. Then one-step ahead forecasts have been generated. It was found, that the ARs generate the best forecasts at …