This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …

contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity … prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and … demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation …

asymmetry of sectoral relative-price changes and the aggregate inflation rate. This correlation is widely interpreted as … evidence that short-run inflation is determined by supply-side factors; however, we study whether, in addition to the inflation …, that the positive and significant effect of relative-price change asymmetries on inflation is not robust with respect to …

I study the short-term impact of surprise inflation on the primary balance by separating those budgetary items which … immediately respond to inflation from non-responding ones. I assume a passive fiscal policy in a one-year horizon; therefore items … decentralised government, their responses to inflation depend on decisions. [...] …

Previous studies have interpreted the rise and fall of U.S. inflation after World War II in terms of the Fed's changing … the low-inflation policy recommended by a natural rate model even after economists had developed statistical evidence … inflation rate in light of updated probabilities that it assigns to three competing models of the Phillips curve. Cautious …

compensate resulting losses of purchasing power only prolong the inflationary phase. Anchored inflation expectations are key to … keeping the inflation process temporary. While this clearly falls under the responsibility of the monetary authorities, fiscal …