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Historically, football experts' predictions were the only method of predicting the outcomes of championships. Former players, coaches, and nearly all fans have tried their hand at it. And most of these predictions were wrong, since subjective desires and prevailing public opinions always played...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601314
In this work the P* model is used to analyze and forecast the inflation rate in the economy of Puerto Rico. This model is based on two essential points: the first one is to identify the inflationary potential of an economic system through the estimation of the price level to which the inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496037
Anlässlich der Fußballweltmeisterschaft 2006 hatte das DIW Berlin zusammen mit der Freien Universität Berlin erstmals den Transfer- Marktwert der Mannschaften als ein einfaches und transparentes Kriterium für die Prognose der Ergebnisse großer Fußball-Turniere vorgeschlagen. Und...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283719
One of the most difficult problems analysts and decision-makers may face is how to improve the forecasting and predicting of financial time series. However, several efforts were made to develop more accurate and reliable forecasting methods. The main purpose of this study is to use technical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013199985
Predicting bankruptcy of companies has been a hot subject of focus for many economists. The rationale for developing and predicting the financial distress of a company is to develop a predictive model used to forecast the financial condition of a company by combining several econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611274
Anlässlich der Fußballweltmeisterschaft 2006 wurde erstmals der Marktwert der Mannschaften ('Transferwert') als eine einfache und transparente Basis für die Prognose des Ausgangs eines großen Fußballturniers vorgeschlagen. Und tatsächlich wurden die Teams mit den höchsten Marktwerten 2006...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010369561
inferences under rational expectations, whereas the fraction of backward looking price setters increases. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582421
requirement that the underlying rational expectations equilibrium is locally indeterminate. We suggest ways in which policymakers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604601
helps overall macroeconomic stability by making expectations operate like automatic stabilizers. Second, under a price level … arguments in favour of or against price level path stability depend on the degree of dependence of private sector expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604864
Economic, financial and social commentators from all directions and persuasion are obsessed with the prospect of recovery. The world remains mired in a deep, prolonged crisis, and the key question seems to be how to get out of it. The purpose of our paper is to ask a very different question that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011645084