compare these optimal rules against plausible alternatives. Model uncertainty is shown to be a substantial problem; the …

-Italian circuit approach; Paul Davidson's (1978) interpretation of John Maynard Keynes, which relies on uncertainty; Wynne Godley …

outline a novel model that considers the non-linear relationship between inattentiveness and aggregate uncertainty, which … crucially distinguishes between macro-economic and data ( measurement error) uncertainty. The empirical analysis uses the Survey …

Using a new survey of European households, we study how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty perceived … macroeconomic uncertainty of some households. The effects on their spending decisions relative to an untreated control group are … measured in follow-up surveys. Higher macroeconomic uncertainty induces households to reduce their spending on non …

Using a new survey of European households, we study how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty perceived … macroeconomic uncertainty of some households. The effects on their spending decisions relative to an untreated control group are … measured in follow-up surveys. Higher macroeconomic uncertainty induces households to reduce their spending on non …

Using a new survey of firms in New Zealand, we document how exogenous variation in the macroeconomic uncertainty … macroeconomic uncertainty of some firms. The effects on their decisions relative to their initial plans as well as relative to an … technologies or open new facilities. These ex-post effects of uncertainty are similar to how firms say they would respond to higher …

This paper aims an empirical investigation of uncertainty in the Euro Zone as well as the US. For this purpose I … conduct a factor analysis of uncertainty measures starting in 2001 until the end of 2011. I use survey-based data provided by … implied volatility of stock market movements. Each measure shows an increase in uncertainty during the last years marked by …