The credit business is an essential part of each banks' activities. With regard to the increasing regulatory obligations, the risk management and the associated minimum capital requirements gain in importance. Banks have got the possibility to determine their credit risk by an internal rating...

This paper empirically investigates the causes of bank failures in Japan and Indonesia. Using logistic regression analysis of financial ratios, we explore the usefulness of domestic bank failure prediction models with a cross-country model that allows for cross-correlation of the error terms....

Pearson's chi-squared test for independence in two-way contingency tables is developed under the assumption of multinomial sampling. In this paper I consider the case where draws are not independent but exhibit serial dependence. I derive the asymptotic distribution and show that adjusting...

This paper proposes a general method to handle forecasts exposed to behavioral bias by finding appropriate outside views, in our case corporate sales forecasts of analysts. The idea is to find reference classes, that is, peer groups, for each analyzed company separately that share similarities...

We consider two tests for testing the hypothesis that a density lies in a parametric class of densities and compare them by means of simulation. Both considered tests are based on the integrated squared distance of the kernel density estimator from its hypothetical expectation. However,...

Similar looking Lorenz Curves can imply very different income density functions and potentially lead to wrong policy implications regarding inequality. This paper derives a relation between a Lorenz Curve and the modality of its underlying income density: Given a parametric Lorenz Curve, it is...

In the problem of testing the equality of k regression curves from independent samples we discuss three methods using nonparametric estimation techniques of the regression function. The first test is based on a linear combination of estimators for the integrated variance function in the...

In a discrete model, the predicted probabilities of a particular eventcan be matched to the observed (0, I) outcomes and this will give riseto a measure of fit for that event. Previous results for the binomialmodel are applied to multinomial models. In these models the measureof fit will vary...

We show how the rootogram - a graphical tool associated with the work of J. W. Tukey and originally used for assessing goodness of fit of univariate distributions - can help to diagnose and treat issues such as overdispersion and/or excess zeros in regression models for count data. Two empirical...