. That disorder is likely to develop long before inflation accelerates so that inflation targeting fails to protect against …

indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period first quarter 1999 till third quarter 2006 …

This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …

inflation - is a central determinant of welfare, the cost of business cycles, the optimal rate of inflation, and the tradeoff … between inflation and output stability. While the comovement of price dispersion and inflation implied by standard models is … the data, the comovement of price dispersion and inflation turns positive. Nevertheless, I show that a wide variety of …

money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of … contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian DSGE models and VARs incorporating …

This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a … focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in …. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However …

We update the wavelet-based analysis of the relationship between money growth and inflation in the euro area in Mandler … and Scharnagl (2014). The relationship between headline M3 growth and inflation at low frequencies has weakened over the … inflation for cycles of 24 years and longer duration. The long-run fluctuations of adjusted money growth and inflation move …

Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …

inflation. It is argued that that there is a tendency to slip from arguments which that the rate of interest is related to the … price level to suggesting that the rate of interest is related to the rate of inflation. The neo-Wicksellian approach is … inflation. It is also argued that the route through the exchange rate does not support the view that higher interest rates will …