Showing 1 - 10 of 67
Readily available information about the current term structure of interest rates, its level and recent trends in important countries has become a standard tool of monetary policy analysis. Interest rate curves can be used for inflation and output forecasts, they may give useful indications about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369954
Mobile telecommunications markets have been studied primarily from the perspectives of mobile telecom operators, market organization and regulators. However, there have been few studies from the perspective of the private consumer, which is the object of this research. This paper is part of an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010309735
The relevance of oil in the world economy explains why considerable effort has been devoted to the development of different types of econometric models for oil price forecasting. Several specifications have been proposed in the economic literature. Some are based on financial theory and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312337
Models that allow for non-cooperative as well as cooperative behavior of families are estimated on data from Norway in 1993 and 1994. The husband is eligible for early retirement while the wife is not. The models aim at explaining labor supply behavior of married couples the first twelve months...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315055
In 1988, an early retirement program (AFP) was introduced in Norway for the 66-years-old. Since then, AFP has gradually been extended and by now it covers workers aged 62-66. In this paper we employ a multinominal logit model to study the transition between states in the labour market. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010315151
This paper makes a comparative study of the inflation dynamics of Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Uruguay during the 2004-2019 period. The goal is to document a number of empirical regularities that are useful for some discussions about the determinants and mechanisms of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014545975
Government agencies and other national and international institutions are asked to perform forecasts over the medium term. In particular, the EU Stability and Growth Pact contains the obligation to formulate stability programmes over four years, covering a general economic outlook as well as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269986
This paper proposes a strategy to increase the efficiency of forecast combination. Given the availability of a wide range of forecasts for the same variable of interest, our goal is to apply combining methods to a restricted set of models. To this aim, a hierarchical procedure based on an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293990
This paper proposes a strategy to increase the efficiency of forecast combining methods. Given the availability of a wide range of forecasting models for the same variable of interest, our goal is to apply combining methods to a restricted set of models. To this aim, an algorithm procedure based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294027
This paper discusses three families of flexible parametric probability density functions: the skewed generalized t, the exponential generalized beta of the second kind, and the inverse hyperbolic sin distributions. These families allow quite flexible modeling the first four moments of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295221