Showing 1 - 10 of 5,025
This paper provides empirical evidence on the dynamic effects of uncertainty on firm-level capital accumulation. A … novelty in this paper is that the firm-level uncertainty indicator is motivated and derived from a theoretical model, the …-correction approach is employed. I find a negative effect of uncertainty on capital accumulation, both in the short and the long run. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321549
In this paper we perform a meta-analysis on empirical estimates of the impact between investment and uncertainty. Since … can explain to a large extent why empirical estimates of the investment-uncertainty relationship differ. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325340
We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at … nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one …-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013351768
We investigate what it means for one act to be more ambiguous than another. The question is evidently analogous to asking what makes one prospect riskier than another, but beliefs are neither objective nor representable by a unique probability. Our starting point is an abstract class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927995
landscape. Uncertainty and perceptions are influential drivers when it comes to migration decisions, and yet, the literature … simultaneously associated with uncertainty perceptions. We leverage the British referendum of 2016 to leave the European Union as a … unique natural experiment to demonstrate how collective uncertainty, induced by national government policy, affects the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263481
Many decision problems in various fields of application can be characterized as diagnostic problems trying to assess the true state (of the world) of given cases. The investigation of assessment criteria improves the initial information according to observed signal outcomes, which are related to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286426
uncertainty, society must take robust preventive action to guard against worst-case outcomes. It follows that the higher the … degree of uncertainty, the more aggressive this preventive action should be. This normative maxim is explored in the case of … a stylized dynamic model of pollution control under Knightian uncertainty. At time 0 a decision-maker makes a one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279642
this new framework to investments in the electricity sector. In particular, a real options model is used to assess the … adoption decision of particular technologies under uncertainty. These technologies are coal-fired power plants, biomassfired … optimization, where the measure of risk is the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294022
many core economies. Focusing on the four largest euro-area countries, this paper investigates the role of uncertainty for … investment dynamics. By doing so, we compare five prominent uncertainty proxies put forward in the recent literature: the … uncertainty, and two indicators taking up the concept of (econometric) unpredictability. Although all uncertainty measures show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011571970
lower exchange rate bound vis-à-vis the Euro. This unexpected change of regime induced a temporary uncertainty about future … the source of uncertainty and disentangle first and second moment effects. We find that price uncertainty affects … and suggest the use of disaggregated investment data to deepen our knowledge on the relationship between uncertainty and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582405