In this paper the performance of different information criteria for simultaneous model class and lag order selection is evaluated using simulation studies. We focus on the ability of the criteria to distinguish linear and nonlinear models. In the simulation studies, we consider three different...

The subject of the present paper is a simplified model for a symmetric bistable system with memory or delay, the reference model, which in the presence of noise exhibits a phenomenon similar to what is known as stochastic resonance. The reference model is given by a one dimensional parametrized...

The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inferences based on autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for se rial correlations using the maximum and the quadratic deviations of sample autocovariances. For these cases, with proper centering and...

This paper estimates the drift parameters in the fractional Vasicek model from a continuous record of observations via maximum likelihood (ML). The asymptotic theory for the ML estimates (MLE) is established in the stationary case, the explosive case, and the boundary case for the entire range...

In this article, maximum deviations of sample autocovariances and autocorrelations from their theoretical counterparts over an increasing set of lags are considered. The asymptotic distribution of such statistics for physically dependent stationary time series, which is of Gumbel type, only...

The strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator in observation-driven models usually requires the study of the model both as a filter for the time-varying parameter and as a data generating process (DGP) for observed data. The probabilistic properties of the...

This series of working papers explores a theme enjoying a tremendous resurgence: the functional distribution of income - the division of aggregate income by factor share. This first installment surveys some landmark theories of income distribution. Some provide a technology-based account of the...

This paper investigates some structural properties of a family of GARCH processes. A simple sufficient condition for the existence of the αδ-order stationary solution of the processes is derived, where α element of (0, 1] and δ 0. The solution is strictly stationary and ergodic, and the...