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Improving inference and forecasting in VAR models using cross-sectional information
Prüser, Jan; Blagov, Boris - 2022
We propose a prior for VAR models that exploits the panel structure of macroeconomic time series while also providing shrinkage towards zero to address overfitting concerns. The prior is flexible as it detects shared dynamics of individual variables across endogenously determined groups of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013366009
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Pronosticando la inflación mensual en Colombia un paso hacia delante: Una aproximación "de abajo hacia arriba"
Alonso, Julio César; Rivera, Andrés Felipe - In: Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y … 23 (2017), pp. 98-118
outperforms an aggregate approach for the case of monthly inflation in Colombia. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011995028
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Participatory Value Evaluation: a novel method to evaluate future urban mobility investments
Mouter, Niek; Koster, Paul; Dekker, Thijs - 2019
-making process for transport projects. However, in the planning literature CBA has been criticized for at least three reasons: 1) CBA … focuses on traditional transport system related planning goals and poorly considers the broader goals of urban transport … specific (local) features of the problem which a transport project aspires to solve as practical CBA studies use generic price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012114799
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A dynamical systems approach to modeling human development
Ranganathan, Shyam; Swain, Ranjula Bali; Sumpter, David … - 2014
A key aim of economics is to set goals and investigate the relationship between various socio-economic indicators. By fitting time series data using a Bayesian dynamical systems approach we identify non-linear interactions between GDP, child mortality, fertility rate and female education. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011396729
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Investitionen, Auslastungsgrad und Öffentliche Finanzen in der mittleren Frist: Implikationen des Zweiten Nachtragshaushalts 2021
Drygalla, Andrej; Heinisch, Katja; Holtemöller, Oliver; … - In: Konjunktur aktuell 9 (2021) 4, pp. 141-148
Die Bundesregierung plant, mit dem Zweiten Nachtragshaushalt 2021 dem Energie- und Klimafonds eine Rücklage in Höhe von 60 Mrd. Euro zuzuführen. Die Mittel sollen in den Folgejahren in Investitionen in den Klimaschutz und die Transformation der Wirtschaft fließen und zugleich...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170234
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Scenario planning as approach to improve the strategic performance of multinational corporations (MNCs)
Abuzaid, Ahmad Nasser - In: Verslas: Teorija ir praktika / Business: Theory and Practice 19 (2018), pp. 195-207
The primary purpose of this study was to explore the relationship between scenario planning and strategic performance. The data was collected from 121 Multinational corporations operating in Jordan by using a questionnaire. Pearson correlation and the partial least squares (PLS) methodology for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012703508
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Sinkendes Potenzialwachstum in Deutschland, beschleunigter Braunkohleausstieg und Klimapaket: Finanzpolitische Konsequenzen für die Jahre bis 2024
Drygalla, Andrej; Heinisch, Katja; Holtemöller, Oliver; … - In: Konjunktur aktuell 7 (2019) 4, pp. 109-120
Nach der Mittelfristprojektion des IWH wird das Bruttoinlandsprodukt in Deutschland in den Jahren bis 2024 preisbereinigt um durchschnittlich 1% wachsen; das nominale Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird um durchschnittlich 2¾% zunehmen. Die Durchschnittswerte verschleiern die Tatsache, dass das Wachstum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014286627
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Hohes öffentliches Defizit nicht nur wegen Corona: Mittelfristige Handlungsmöglichkeiten für den Staat
Drygalla, Andrej; Heinisch, Katja; Holtemöller, Oliver; … - In: Konjunktur aktuell 8 (2020) 4, pp. 150-161
Nach der Mittelfristprojektion des IWH wird das Bruttoinlandsprodukt in Deutschland in den Jahren bis 2025 preisbereinigt um durchschnittlich ½% wachsen, und damit einen Prozentpunkt langsamer als im Zeitraum von 2013 bis 2019. Dies ist nicht nur auf den starken Einbruch im Jahr 2020...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498394
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Returns to Publicly Owned Transport Infrastructure Investment. A Cost Function/Cost Share Approach for Norway, 1971-1991
Bye, Torstein; Katz, Alexandra - 1995
An issue of major concern to politicians and policy-makers around the world today is whether transport infrastructure … includes public transport infrastructure capital, perform an econometric analysis and discuss several of our estimates of … transport infrastructure investments made in Norway over the last 20 years significantly reduced private production costs and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967926
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Die "Europäische Seidenstraße"
Heimberger, Philipp; Holzner, Mario; Kochnev, Artem - 2018
network and transport strategy of its own to leverage its economic potential. It should not rely on China's Belt and Road … in particular needs an upgrading of its transport infrastructure. If this is achieved, the boost to incomes and living … standards would be particularly significant in that part of the continent, as a 'big push' in transport infrastructure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100204