We study the role of an imbalance in fighting strengths when players bargain in the shadow of conflict. Our … experimental results suggest: In a simple bargaining game with an exogenous mediation proposal, the likelihood of conflict is … independent of the balance of power. If bargaining involves endogenous demand choices, however, the likelihood of conflict is …

influencing the policy choice by changing the political institutions in the target country (with or without a civil war). We … dynamics and for internal conflict than is commonly acknowledged in both empirical and theoretical research. …

from surprise warfare may agree to peace, but will later renege on it. It is shown that the levels of conflict chosen by … (sanctions) can reduce or eliminate conflict. These sanctions, however, need to be credible. Finally, the independent provision …

This paper expands the micro-foundations of the traditional greed and grievance non-cooperative model of civil conflict … better understanding of conflict persistence, the consequences of competing international aid and why sub-optimal sanctions …

This paper emphasizes that the evolution of religious institutions in Europe was influenced by the expansionary threat … rivals of a different affiliation. The overall patterns of conflict in continental Europe as well as those between the …

Ethnic and religious fractionalization have important effects on economic growth and development, but their role in … ultimate determinants of conflict. However, fractionalization in all its demographic forms is endogenous in the long run. In … the relationship between fractionalization and the propensity of internal conflict statistically insignificant. Finally …

We examine whether frontier rule, which disallows frontier residents from recourse to formal institutions of conflict … 10km-by10km grid cell-level data on conflict in a spatial regression discontinuity design framework, we show that areas … represented a universal shock to grievances against the state which, in the absence of formal avenues of conflict management, led …

We examine whether frontier rule, which disallows frontier residents from a recourse to formal institutions of conflict …km-by10km grid cell-level data on conflict in a spatial regression discontinuity design framework, we show that areas … conflict management, led to a sharp surge in attacks against state targets in frontier areas. We show that the surge in …

Despite record economic growth in the decade that followed the fall of the Taliban regime, poverty remained stubbornly … high in Afghanistan, and especially so in regions that suffered less from conflict. This paper aims to explain this puzzle … by combining a model of conflict intensity at the province level in 2007−14 with a model of consumption at the …