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, however, is the incompleteness of its reform process: the boom-bust nature of its growth, persistently high inflation, delays …, to reduce inflation to single digits by the end of 2002. Since then, though, Turkey has experienced two financial crises … and redesigned its stabilization program to bring inflation down more gradually. This collection analyzes the nature of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513258
economy. Romer and Romer (2000) found that the Fed reveals information about inflation when it tightens monetary policy. Their … exclude the Fed's revelation of its asymmetric information about future inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293721
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299140
inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299143
Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
the Generalized Dynamic Factor model to develop a set of core inflation indicators that, combining national data with area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604946
contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity … prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and … demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274442
independence and inflation. Making use of data on the evolution of central bank independence over time and controlling for possible … country's inflation performance. Examining a cross-section of up to 69 countries, we are able to show that granting a central … bank more autonomy does not necessarily lead to better inflation performance. To lower inflation by increasing independence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274749
Ausgleich von Preisschocks durchsetzt, zu hoher Inflation und letztlich zu harter restriktiver Geldpolitik mit Arbeitslosigkeit … side of capital. The experience of the inflation wave and oil price shocks of the 1970s shows that a wage policy that … enforces full compensation of price shocks through higher wages leads to high inflation and ultimately to harsh restrictive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014331142
After almost four decades of price stability, inflation has recently approached historical highs. Initially driven by … global energy and food price increases, the magnitude of the surge in inflation caught central banks and markets by surprise … monetary policy tightening, inflation upside risks are large. How can central banks restore control - and with it their own …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014334696