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predicted effects of overconfidence. These studies assume, however, that a specific type of overconfidence, i.e., miscalibration …-established miscalibration bias. We find no gender differences in overconfidence for our measures except for one, where women are more … overconfidence and linked to the judgment literature in psychology. Empirical tests of the models often fail to find evidence for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281612
We investigate the theoretically proposed link between judgmental overconfidence and trading activity. In addition to … applying classical measures of miscalibration, we introduce a measure to capture misperception of signal reliability, which is … the relevant bias in the theoretical overconfidence literature. We relate the obtained overconfidence measures to trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291808
We experimentally investigate the determinants of overconfidence and test the hypothesis, advanced by Robert Trivers …, that overconfidence serves to more effectively persuade or deceive others. After performing a cognitively challenging task …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451529
Why are people so often overconfident? We conduct an experiment to test the hypothesis that people become overconfident to more effectively persuade or deceive others. After performing a cognitively challenging task, half of our subjects are informed that they can earn money by convincing others...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663455
We examine factors that may contribute to 'overconfidence' in relative ability on an intelligence test. We test … an equilibrium strategy, providing a rationale for strategic overconfidence. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326528
salient perturbations, we propose a strategic foundation of overconfidence. Since overconfident statements are used in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328716
This paper studies the influence of information on entry choices in a competition with a controlled laboratory experiment. We investigate whether information provision attracts mainly high productivity individuals and reduces competition failure, where competition failure occurs when a subject...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282257
In this paper we ask if reports of private information about skills, abilities or achievements are affected by image concerns. We develop a simple model that illustrates how image utility can lead to misreporting of private information in contexts where truthful reports maximize monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286888
Confidence in one's own abilities is often seen as an important determinant of being successful. Empirical evidence about how such beliefs about one's own abilities causally influence choices is, however, sparse. In this paper, we use a stylized laboratory experiment to investigate the causal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012290064
We analyze how subjects' self-assessment depends on whether its accuracy is observable to others. We find that women downgrade their self-assessment given observability while men do not. Women avoid the shame they may have if others observe that they overestimated themselves. Men, however, do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427160