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financial market volatility after FOMC meetings. Finally, Fed communication may exert an influence on forecast accuracy. …The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in forecast accuracy among Fed watchers. Based on a … novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604741
influencing such heterogeneity as Fed communication is found to affect forecast accuracy significantly. …The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in the ability of Fed watchers to forecast US … FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 basis points between the best and worstperformers across the sample. This heterogeneity is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299141
countries, we find remarkable differences in forecast accuracy, and show that they are partly related to geography and … involving multiple central banking traditions. How does this heterogeneity affect the ability of economic agents to understand … banking in the past. In large part this heterogeneity can be traced to differences in forecasting models. While some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299102
countries, we find remarkable differences in forecast accuracy, and show that they are partly related to geography and … involving multiple central banking traditions. How does this heterogeneity affect the ability of economic agents to understand … banking in the past. In large part this heterogeneity can be traced to differences in forecasting models. While some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604624
The question how best to communicate monetary policy decisions remains a highly topical issue among central banks. Focusing on the experience of the European Central Bank, this paper studies how explanations of monetary policy decisions at press conferences are perceived by financial markets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604813
communication by the Bank of Sierra Leone. The research focuses on evaluating the clarity and simplicity of the Bank's communication … the importance of stakeholder engagement, transparency, adoption of digital outreach tools, local language communication …, continuous monitoring and evaluation of the Bank’s communication strategy. This research contributes empirical evidence on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014475325
The Term Securities Lending Facility (TSLF) was introduced by the Federal Reserve to promote liquidity in the financing markets for Treasury and other collateral. We evaluate one aspect of the program - the extent to which it has narrowed repo spreads between Treasury collateral and less liquid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283535
This paper examines bond and stock market volatility reactions in the euro area and the US following their respective economies’ monetary policy decisions, over a uniform sample period (April 1999 to May 2006). For this purpose, intraday data on the US and euro area bond and stock markets are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604772
Using a GARCH model, we analyze the influence of U.S. monetary policy action and communication on the price volatility … bank communication during the recent financial crisis: the 'calming' effect of communication found for the whole sample is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286427
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates, and equity prices in the U.S. Their simultaneous changes enable us to distinguish between a systematic and "exogenous" response to monetary-policy news. And, those tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329