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entirely the negative effect of the inflationary shock on the lowest-income population, given that, on the one hand, the shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015199457
How do trade patterns change after an external shock such as an economic crisis, and is this shift structural? This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327353
Many studies in economics use instruments or treatments which combine a set of exogenous shocks with other predetermined variables by a known formula. Examples include shift-share instruments and measures of social or spatial spillovers. We review recent econometric tools for this setting, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480549
response to a future shock always becomes weaker the further away the shock is. There is no forward guidance puzzle in any … sensible general equilibrium model if forward guidance is a one-time shock in the future. The difference from the literature …, one-time shock in the future. I unpack the standard forward guidance exercise in different ways, and show that there is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015195443
shock leading to losses that occur with an exogenous probability and in a stochastically independent way. The regions can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308290
In a recent paper, Mertens and Ravn (2010) study the effects of anticipated fiscal policy shocks in a structural vector autoregressive model. The authors maintain that (i) the lag polynomial associated with news shocks is a cyclotomic polynomial and (ii) the matrix B(L) which transforms a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310729
We propose a method to incorporate information from Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models into Dynamic Factor Analysis. The method combines a procedure previously applied for Bayesian Vector Autoregressions and a Gibbs Sampling approach for Dynamic Factor Models. The factors in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316078
the source of debt which is most sensitive to shocks is foreign funding. In fact, any shock creates a wedge between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316721
This paper develops a simple model with credit rationing and endogenous default risk in which the expectation of a bailout may lead to a financial sector which is too large with respect to the the social optimum. The paper concludes with a short discussion of how this model could be used as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316740
This paper develops an open economy firm-heterogeneous model where the combination of market rigidities and exchange rate uncertainty acts like a barrier to trade and modifies a firm's optimal choice in terms of production and pricing. The existence of price and labor rigidities, coupled with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316775