This paper provides an overall picture of the Philippine business cycles covering the period 1981 to 2003 by characterizing them in terms of volatility, co-movement and persistence. As a trend-cycle decomposition technique, the most frequently used Hodrick Prescott filter was applied. The period...

Die deutsche Wirtschaft ist abermals heftigem Gegenwind ausgesetzt. Der Krieg in der Ukraine führt zu hohen Rohstoffpreisen, neuen Lieferengpässen und schwindenden Absatzmöglichkeiten. Die hohen Rohstoffpreise verringern die Kaufkraft der verfügbaren Einkommen und dämpfen damit den privaten...

Die Erholung der deutschen Wirtschaft verzögert sich. Die Vorsichtsmaßnamen zum Infektionsschutz sowie die anhaltenden Lieferengpässe dürften im Winterhalbjahr zu einer Delle im Aufholprozess führen. So wird sich dann wohl vor allem bei den besonders von der Pandemie belasteten...

In reaction to disruptions of the Single Market, the European Commission put forward an emergency instrument. It proposes far-reaching measures in order to maintain the proper functioning of the Single Market and ensure the supply and distribution of goods and services. The dirigiste...

Mit dem abermaligen Rückgang des Bruttoinlandsprodukts im ersten Quartal und den zuletzt eingetrübten Konjunkturindikatoren haben sich die Sorgen gemehrt, dass die Nachwehen der Energiekrise und die Straffung der Geldpolitik die Wirtschaft stärker belasten könnten als zuvor erwartet....

Business cycles are costlier and stabilization policies more beneficial than widely thought. This paper shows that all business cycles are asymmetric and resemble mini "disasters." By this we mean that growth is pervasively fat-tailed and non-Gaussian. Using long-run historical data, we show...

In most western societies, marital fertility began to decline in the nineteenth century. But in Ireland, fertility in marriage remained stubbornly high into the twentieth century. Explanations of this focus on the influence of the Roman Catholic Church in Irish society. These arguments are often...

This paper investigates whether the degree and the nature of economic and monetary policy interdependence between the United States and the euro area have changed with the advent of EMU. Using real-time data, it addresses this issue from the perspective of financial markets by analysing the...

It is widely believed that the Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) has grossly fallen short of high expectations raised by the Bush administration in 2002. From the perspective of potential recipient countries, the crucial issue is whether the MCC increased the overall pool of aid resources...