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and nominal exchange rates are used, where Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Greece, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovenia and Hungary … for Poland are identified. Conversely, for Slovenia, Hungary, Ireland and Spain merely short-term links resulted … are included in the analysis. From the cointegration analysis and VAR analysis both long-term links and short-term links …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291121
Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are … one month. However, implied volatility provides a biased estimate, and does not encompass the information included in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322417
-ins for monetary union with respect to Germany. Using tests for cointegration and common features for monthly data during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285355
dominated by the indirect effect via the export channel. Services do not face any effects of volatility on R&D intensities …A recent literature has pointed at potential negative effects of exchange rate volatility on innovation. In this paper …, we propose that there may be a direct effect as well as an indirect effect via export activity. We test these hypotheses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265242
dominated by the indirect effect via the export channel. Services do not face any effects of volatility on R&D intensities …A recent literature has pointed at potential negative effects of exchange rate volatility on innovation. In this paper …, we propose that there may be a direct effect as well as an indirect effect via export activity. We test these hypotheses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278015
transmission mechanism in two countries from the region, namely Poland and Hungary and contrast the results with dairy market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494511
This paper considers the education of the labour force based on an analysis of trends in and the relationships between job polarization and skills mismatch. Both job polarization and skills mismatch have become topics of increasing interest, but relationships between the two have been relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650794
This paper investigates the forecasting ability of survey data on exchange rate expectations with multiple forecast horizons. The survey forecasts are on the exchange rates of five Central and Eastern European currencies: Czech Koruna, Hungarian Forint, Polish Zloty, Romanian Leu and Slovakian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322480
This paper tests whether the exchange rates of the Czech koruna, the Hungarian forint, and the Polish zloty were anchored by market expectations concerning their euro locking rates. First, the process of the exchange rate is derived as a function of the following factors: (i) latent exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322461
best test to be used jointly with a restriction test on self-cointegration is a modified version of the Dickey-Fuller test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292762