Showing 1 - 10 of 12,724
Bubbles in asset markets have been documented in numerous experimental studies. However, all experiments in which … bubbles occur pay dividends after each trading day. In this paper we study whether bubbles can occur in markets without … may have inside information, and (2) the option to communicate with other traders. We find that bubbles can indeed occur …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422145
reswitching activities and short-term thinking of bounded rational investors. Negative bubbles (market prices lower than … fundamentals) tend to occur if active portfolio managers exhibit high risk aversion, but are less frequent than positive bubbles. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323727
We investigate the possibility of exploiting partial correlation graphs for identifying interpretable latent variables underlying a multivariate time series. It is shown how the collapsibility and separation properties of partial correlation graphs can be used to understand the relation between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010306285
I present empirical results on the contribution of three key drivers of inflation in Denmark: an inflation trend anchored by inflation expectations; the Danish business cycle; and an energy price cycle. All three drivers contribute significantly to the development of inflation and explain most of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014563915
In this article we provide evidence for a rational bubble in S\&P 500 stock prices by applying a test for changing persistence under fractional integration proposed by Sibbertsen and Kruse (2007). We find strong evidence for stationary long memory before the estimated change point in 1955 and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265683
bubbles’ the spatial pattern of house prices, which can mainly be attributed to accessibility differences, usually remains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325383
We explore a view of the crisis as a shock to investor sentiment that led to the collapse of a bubble or pyramid scheme in financial markets. We embed this view in a standard model of the financial accelerator and explore its empirical and policy implications. In particular, we show how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605394
On 15th November 2012 in Copenhagen, SUERF and Nykredit in association with Danmarks Nationalbank organised a conference on “Property prices and real estate financing in a turbulent world.” The papers included in this SUERF Study are based on contributions to the conference.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689960
conventional unit root tests in modified forms can be used to construct early warning indicators for bubbles in financial markets … 1871, they are able to signal most of the consensus bubbles, defined as stock market booms for example by the IMF, and they … bubbles from the data. Finally, these early warning indicators are applied to data for several housing markets. In most of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148911
We outline a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with trend extrapo-lation in asset pricing that we fit to quarterly U.S. macroeconomic time series with Baye-sian techniques. To be more precise, we modify the DSGE model in Smets and Wouters (2007) by incorporating asset traders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321374