Showing 1 - 10 of 1,829
Endogenous Uncertainty is that component of economic risk and market volatility which is propagated within the economy … Uncertainty. This paper shows that most of the observed volatility in financial markets is generated by the beliefs of the agents …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608491
Market Hypothesis sense. The paper tries to show that this so-called excess volatility is to a large extend the result of the …, constant dividend growth rates as well as non-variable discount rates. It is shown that indeed volatility declines considerably …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269909
Qualitative surveys enjoy huge popularity among business cycle analysts and research institutes since they provide fast information on the stance of the economy. However, in order to derive quantitative statements researchers have to rely on assumptions about the relation between quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277730
We develop a model of rational bubbles based on the assumptions of unknown market liquidity and limited liability of traders. In a bubble, the price of an asset rises dynamically above its steady-state value, justified by rational expectations about future price developments. The larger the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286704
and the short-run or transitory components of the volatility of daily stock market returns using bivariate mixture models …. For this purpose, the Standard bivariate mixture model of Tauchen and Pitts (1983) in which volatility and volume are … each endowed with their own dynamic behavior are allowed to direct volatility and volume. Since the latent information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435593
The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U ….S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock … returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations for every firm. For one-day-ahead estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302536
The present study addresses the economic interpretation of stock market volatility. We argue that its character is … volatility. This exploits the revealed reaction of investors to gauge the degree of information and uncertainty ascribed to … volatility. We estimate simultaneous timevarying coefficient models, using data of US and further stock markets. We find the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318768
Belief Equilibrium (RBE) for market volatility. It is argued that the theory of Rational Belief Equilibria (RBE) provides a … unified paradigm for explaining market volatility by the effect of "Endogenous Uncertainty" on financial markets. This … the book regarding market volatility. The structure of the paper is as follows. Section I outlines the basic assumptions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608344
This paper provides micro-econometric evidence on the relevance of non-market interaction for the timing of initial public offerings (IPOs) in the French and German primary equity markets. The surge of IPO volume in the late 1990s appears to be consistent with rational expectations, not with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265432
Tse (1998) proposes a model which combines the fractionally integrated GARCH formulation of Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996) with the asymmetric power ARCH specification of Ding, Granger and Engle (1993). This paper analyzes the applicability of a multivariate constant conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422185