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The paper proposes a general asymmetric multifactor Wishart stochastic volatility (AMWSV) diffusion process which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326219
financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVR in volatility forecasting. Based on a recurrent SVR, a GARCH … to forecast financial markets volatility. The real data in this study uses British Pound-US Dollar (GBP) daily exchange … examined to the free parameters. Keywords: recurrent support vector regression ; GARCH model ; volatility forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274143
We study the modelling of large data sets of high frequency returns using a long memory stochastic volatility (LMSV …, a new method of de-seasonalising the volatility in high frequency data is proposed, that allows for slowly varying … realised volatility to that of a linear long memory model fit to the log realised volatility. The performance of the new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296398
This paper performs a thorough statistical examination of the time-series properties of the market volatility index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807372
incidence of violations by OTM than by ITM calls, contradicting the common inference drawn from the observed implied volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266937
Security prices contain valuable information that can be used to make a wide variety of economic decisions. To extract this information, a model is required that relates market prices to the desired information, and that ideally can be implemented using timely and low-cost methods. The authors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289724
Recently a market in options based on CPI inflation (inflation caps and floors) has emerged in the US. This paper uses quotes on these derivatives to construct probability densities for inflation. We study how these pdfs respond to news announcements, and find that the implied odds of deflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397781
We assess whether the euro had an impact first on the degree of integration of European financial markets, and, second, on the euro area term structure. We propose two methodologies to measure integration: one relies on time-varying GARCH correlations, and the other one on a regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604644
aggregate output across industrial sectors which minimize the economy’s long-term volatility for a given level of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605305
More financially developed countries show lower volatility of industrial output. Volatility is particularly reduced in … industries that are more financially dependent. Most of the reduction is in idiosyncratic volatility. Systematic volatility is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263333