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price volatility, and compares their forecasting performance to the standard GARCH, fractionally integrated GARCH (FIGARCH …) and the two-state Markov-switching GARCH (MS-GARCH) models via three loss functions (the mean squared error, the mean … criteria and forecast horizons, while MS-GARCH mostly comes out as the least successful model. Applying various VaR backtesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306665
The global financial crisis of 2008 proved that what initially appeared to be relatively small losses in the financial system can be magnified to systemic ones. The European Union debt crisis has thus revived interest in the interdependence across different markets, especially sovereign debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014332511
heteroscedasticity (CGARCH (1, 1)) model. Employing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) estimator on data covering 1970 to 2020 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015074152
This paper uses sovereign CDS spread changes and their volatilities as a proxy for the informational efficiency of the sovereign markets and persistency of country risks. Specifically, we apply semi-parametric and parametric methods to the sovereign CDSs of 10 eurozone countries to test the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311861
Although the properties of the ARCH(∞) model are well investigated, the existence of long memory FIGARCH and IARCH … finite variance FIGARCH and IARCH models and, thus, the possibility of long memory in the ARCH setting was doubtful. The … present paper solves this controversy by showing that FIGARCH and IARCH equations have a non-trivial covariance stationary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460773
fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (FIGARCH) model. Our algorithm is a variation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431068
and structural breaks on fractality is investigated through the ARFIMA-FIGARCH and ARFIMA-HYGARCH models. We observe that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012484800
This paper analyses the stochastic behaviour of Private Equity returns (a measure of profitability) applying fractional integration methods to an extensive dataset including quarterly data spanning the last four decades for various geographical areas (US, Europe, Asia/Pacific, the Rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013353455
This paper examines tourism persistence in a group of Southeastern European (SEE) countries (Albania, Bosnia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Serbia and Slovenia) by applying fractional integration methods to monthly data on foreign tourist arrivals and overnight stays. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470265
This paper analyses the stochastic properties of UK nominal and real wages over the period 1750-2015 using fractional integration techniques. Both the original series and logged ones are analysed. The results generally suggest that nominal wages exhibit a higher degree of persistence, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013470277