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This paper make an overview of the copula theory from a practical side. We consider different methods of copula … estimation and different Goodness-of-Fit tests for model selection. In the GoF section we apply Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramer … Gaussian copulae but also Hierarchical Archimedean Copulae. Afterwards we provide an empirical part to support the theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270716
). Maximum Likelihood estimation requires high-dimensional numerical integration in order to marginalize the joint distribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296304
This paper introduces a multivariate long-memory model with structural breaks. In the proposed framework, time series exhibit possibly fractional orders of integration which are allowed to be different in each subsample. The break date is endogenously determined using a procedure which minimises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264093
direct forecasts when estimation error is a first-order concern, i.e. in small samples and for long forecast horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276226
Normal distribution of the residuals is the traditional assumption in the classical multivariate time series models. Nevertheless it is not very often consistent with the real data. Copulae allows for an extension of the classical time series models to nonelliptically distributed residuals. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274191
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316265
We propose a novel approach to model serially dependent positive-valued variables which realize a non-trivial proportion of zero outcomes. This is a typical phenomenon in financial time series observed at high frequencies, such as cumulated trading volumes. We introduce a flexible point-mass...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308578
We propose a novel approach to model serially dependent positive-valued variables which realize a non-trivial proportion of zero outcomes. This is a typical phenomenon in financial time series observed on high frequencies, such as cumulated trading volumes or the time between potentially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281483
A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324850
Motivated in part by applications in model selection in statistical genetics and sequential monitoring of financial data, we study an empirical process framework for a class of stopping rules which rely on kernel-weighted averages of past data. We are interested in the asymptotic distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010306277