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Detecting asset price bubbles with time-series methods
Taipalus, Katja - 2012
conventional unit root tests in modified forms can be used to construct early warning indicators for bubbles in financial markets … 1871, they are able to signal most of the consensus bubbles, defined as stock market booms for example by the IMF, and they … bubbles from the data. Finally, these early warning indicators are applied to data for several housing markets. In most of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148911
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Property Prices and Real Estate Financing in a Turbulent World
Balling, Morten; Bentzen, Christian Sinding; Berg, Jesper; … - 2013
On 15th November 2012 in Copenhagen, SUERF and Nykredit in association with Danmarks Nationalbank organised a conference on “Property prices and real estate financing in a turbulent world.” The papers included in this SUERF Study are based on contributions to the conference.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689960
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Learning from experience in the stock market
Nakov, Anton; Nuño, Galo - 2011
We study the dynamics of a Lucas-tree model with finitely lived agents who "learn from experience." Individuals update expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits stochastic boom-and-bust fluctuations around the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605442
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Common information-processing irrationality as trade creator
Klishchuk, Bogdan - 2020
We show that a common (identical across investors) irrationality in information processing can be enough to create nontrivial trade, using one of standard partial-equilibrium environments. We can attribute this trade to their common irrationality because we strip the investors and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270858
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The Financial Crisis in Japan – Are There Similarities to the Current Situation?
Mayr, Johannes - In: CESifo Forum 09 (2008) 4, pp. 64-68
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011695915
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The misinformation effect in financial markets: An emerging issue in behavioural fianance
Polak, Mateusz - In: e-Finanse: Financial Internet Quarterly 8 (2012) 3, pp. 55-61
The following paper is a theoretical introduction of the misinformation effect to behavioural finance. The misinformation effect causes a memory report regarding an event or particular knowledge to become contaminated with misleading information from another source. The paper aims to describe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011551375
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Winter blues and time variation in the price of risk
Garrett, Ian; Kamstra, Mark; Kramer, Lisa - 2004
Previous research has documented robust links between seasonal variation in length of day, seasonal depression (known as seasonal affective disorder, or SAD), risk aversion, and stock market returns. The influence of SAD on market returns, known as the SAD effect, is large. The authors study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397599
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Asset Bubbles without Dividends - An Experiment
Oechssler, Jörg; Schmidt, Carsten; Schnedler, Wendelin - 2009
Bubbles in asset markets have been documented in numerous experimental studies. However, all experiments in which … bubbles occur pay dividends after each trading day. In this paper we study whether bubbles can occur in markets without … may have inside information, and (2) the option to communicate with other traders. We find that bubbles can indeed occur …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422145
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Passive investment strategies and financial bubbles
Fischer, Thomas - 2012
reswitching activities and short-term thinking of bounded rational investors. Negative bubbles (market prices lower than … fundamentals) tend to occur if active portfolio managers exhibit high risk aversion, but are less frequent than positive bubbles. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323727
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The Effect of Consumers' Expectations in a Booming Housing Market
Rouwendal, Jan; Longhi, Simonetta - 2007
‘bubbles’ the spatial pattern of house prices, which can mainly be attributed to accessibility differences, usually remains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325383