Sustaining and accelerating agricultural growth remains a development imperative in view of persistent rural poverty and emerging threats to food security. While growth can be achieved by expansion of agricultural area and input intensification, growth through improvement in productivity is a...

Many concerns can be raised about the effectiveness of current aid programmes to developing countries. The appropriateness of aid is particularly questionable when one considers the likely character of the challenges that the global economy will confront in 2025, as suggested by alternative...

Operational risk management and measurement has been paid an increasing attention in last years. The main two reasons are the Basel II requirements that were to be complied with by all international active financial institutions by the end of 2006 and recent severe operational risk loss events....

Seit Jahresbeginn 2006 steht der US-Dollar unter Abwertungsdruck. Dadurchverändert sich die internationale Wettbewerbsfähigkeit von Ländern und Unternehmen. Dieser Beitrag zeigt kurz verschiedene betriebliche Währungsrisiken auf und geht dann auf langfristig relevante ökonomische...

Scenarios and pathways, as defined and used in the "SSP-RCP scenario framework", are key in last decade's climate change research and in the latest report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In this framework, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) consist of a limited set of...

Although macroeconomic forecasting forms an integral part of the policymaking process, there has been a serious lack of rigorous and systematic research in the evaluation of out-of-sample modelbased forecasts of China's real gross domestic product (GDP) growth and consumer price index inflation....

Die möglichst präzise und vor allem zutreffende Vorhersage unsicherer zukünftiger Ereignisse ist eine permanente Herausforderung für Unternehmen. Prognosemärkte adressieren diese Aufgabe, indem sie relevante Informationen aufdecken, bewerten und aggregieren. Mit diesem Bericht leisten wir...

Our paper examines the possible role of enterprise surveys in the forecasting of labour market processes. Based on two enterprise surveys with large samples we examine to what extent are enterprises, differing in their size, sales revenues, ownership structure and markets, capable to predict...

A key aspect of generating new ideas is drawing from different elements of past knowledge and combining them into a new idea. In such a process, the diversity of ideas plays a central role. This paper examines the empirical question of how the internet affected the diversity of new research by...

We compile a ranking of the research output of all Nobel Laureates in economics using the Handelsblatt methodology and compare the outcome to the Handelsblatt ranking of economists in the Germanspeaking area. Our analysis focuses on whether the overall rating scores of the Nobel Laureates are...