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We show that the correct experiment to evaluate the effects of a fiscal adjustment is the simulation of a multi year fiscal plan rather than of individual fiscal shocks. Simulation of fiscal plans adopted by 16 OECD countries over a 30-year period supports the hypothesis that the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460733
A fiscal shock due to a shift in taxes or in government spending will, at some point in time, constrain the future path of taxes and spending, since the government's intertemporal budget constraint will eventually have to be met. This simple fact is surprisingly overlooked in analyses of the...
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The long-run relationship between money and prices in the euro area embedded in traditional money demand models with income and interest rates broke down after 2001. We develop a money demand model where investors hold a diversified portfolio with money, domestic and foreign stocks and long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604972
The article studies policy options in an economy which is unstable under bond-financing of a predetermined government deficit. We analyze policies based on pre-announced changes in monetary control or on confi-scation of that part of the Government debt which could only be retired through a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650872
The paper is organized around two main questions. The first is, why is the eversion to exchange rate fluctuations stronger in Europe than elsewhere? the second question is: how does the EMS hold together?
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650937
This paper reviews the arguments for and against monetary unification in Europe, taking into account the recent shift in emphasis in the analysis of exchange-rate regimes.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650938
Verso la metà degli anni '70, molti economisti iniziarono a chiedersi se un ruolo attivo della politica monetaria e fiscale fosse ancora auspicabile ed efficace. I dubbi nascevano dall'osservazione che la politica economica sembrava incapace di risolvere il dilemma di un'alta inflazione e di...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650939