Showing 1 - 10 of 8,010
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299140
We use Bayesian estimation techniques to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the United States … including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. This …. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and tends to be smaller in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299139
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321554
policy. First, I consider whether ignoring money means returning to the conceptual framework that allowed the high inflation … of the 1970s. Second, I consider whether models of inflation determination with no role for money are incomplete, or … evidence for a long-run relationship between money growth and inflation. (Here I give particular attention to the implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940718
Specific ideas about the Fisher relation between real and nominal interest rates and more general ideas about the nature of the central bank's duty to support the financial system in times of crisis were important to the Monetarist re-assessment of the causes of the Great Depression and what...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291905
the combination of economic policies adopted by the two key economies, the US and China. Global financial markets served … economic policies followed by emerging markets such as China and the oil-exporting countries contributed to the US ability to …. Moreover, our analysis has shown that liquidity will first show up in asset price inflation and only later in consumer goods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271353
policy impacts inflation and real economic developments in China. The results indicate that the conduct of monetary policy in … aims to hit an inflation target by simply controlling the target interest rate. First, China's monetary policy toolkit is …China's economic development has been exceptionally robust since the end of the 1970s, and the country has already …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148910
The paper proposes two econometric models of inflation for Azerbaijan: one based on monthly data and eclectic, another … based on quarterly data and takes into account disequilibrium at the money market. Inflation regression based on monthly … data showed that consumer prices dynamics is explained by money growth (the more money, the higher the inflation), exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430889
Federal Reserve nonborrowed reserve supply systematically responded to changes in inflation and in the output gap over … inflation varies considerably across time. Nonborrowed reserves decreased with inflation in the post-1979 period and increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325981
, inwiefern die Beziehung zwischen Geldmenge und Inflation stabil ist, d.h. ob das Parameterregime als konstant unterstellt werden …While the long run relation between money and inflation is well established, empirical evidence on the adjustment to … volatility of the transmission from monetary pressure to inflation follows some structure, i.e., if the parameter regime can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271412