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This paper presents a Heterogeneous Agent Model of a financial market with chartist and fundamentalist traders that exhibit bounded rationality and short-term thinking to explain the effect of under and overreaction to news. The existence of the Market Maker's finite price adjustment speed leads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323743
This paper investigates the role of published stock recommendations in print and online media as investor sentiment in the near-term German stock market. In line with extant literature on other sentiment measures, vector autoregressions reveal that past stock returns drive today's sentiment, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319293
This paper empirically models China’s stock prices using conventional fundamentals: corporate earnings, risk-free interest rate, and a proxy for equity risk premium. It uses the estimated longrun stock price misalignments to date booms and busts, and analyses equity market reforms and excess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605236
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010475190
research. The approach simultaneously estimates the explanatory power of fundamentals, expectations, and historic yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011733801
The following paper is a theoretical introduction of the misinformation effect to behavioural finance. The misinformation effect causes a memory report regarding an event or particular knowledge to become contaminated with misleading information from another source. The paper aims to describe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011551375
Employing a new accounting data set we apply the framework of McGrattan and Prescott (2005) to the Japanese economy in order to assess if Japanese stocks were priced correctly in the period after 1980. We find that the stock market tended to undervalue the fundamental value of installed capital....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332440
expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits … stochastic boom-and-bust fluctuations around the rational expectations equilibrium. This heterogeneous-agents economy can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605442
We develop a financial market model with interacting chartists and fundamentalists that embeds the famous bull and bear market model of Huang and Day as a special case. Their model is given by a one-dimensional continuous piecewise-linear map. Our model, on the other hand, is more flexible and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310936
United Kingdom, Japan, and Australia, the authors find that a conditional CAPM that allows the price of risk to vary in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397599