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The possible participation of Finland in the Stage m of the European Monetary Union would constitute a major change in … Finland?This is the question the present paper seeks to analyze. In the first part of this paper, we review and evaluate the … to which monetary autonomy has served to stabilize the real economy in Finland.This model is applied to analyze directly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147696
evidence for two distinct views concerning the ultimate EMU membership: (1) Finland and France were considered irrefutable EMU …-switching GARCH model this paper estimates the volatility processes of four EMU exchange rate returns vis-?-vis the German mark using … daily data for the time prior to Stage III of EMU. Statistical inference yields the dates at which financial markets began …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295594
A withdrawal of a member state from the EMU due to market pressure has been a rather popular topic in the public debate … have been concentrated on the crisis countries, but as the Finnish economic difficulties have deepened also on Finland. In … the report, the effects of the potential withdrawal of Greece, one of the weakest economies in the EMU, is studied first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037659
The fiscal governance of the EMU is in dire need of reform. Its current arrangements suff er from several shortcomings … economic objectives in guiding the conduct of fiscal policies; and last but not least, the fact that, under the EMU … by a lack of instruments for effective economic policy at the EMU level, we contribute to the ongoing debate on how to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014565890
This paper investigates determinants of convergence in GDP per capita in the euro area and the EU between 1995 and 2021. It finds that the COVID-19 crisis temporarily slowed convergence but the estimated negative impact is significantly smaller than during the global financial crisis. Diverging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014334683
This paper analyses the link between economic fundamentals and exchange rates by investigating the importance of real-time data. We find that such economic news in the United States, Germany and the euro area have indeed been a driving force behind daily US dollar – euro/DEM exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604411
A key element of the European reform agenda is to simplify the EU fiscal governance framework by moving towards a single debt anchor and a single operational indicator as the basis for formulating fiscal targets and assessing compliance. This paper puts forward an in-depth analysis of two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013331895
In response to the economic fallout from the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, the European Council agreed on the Next Generation EU (NGEU) instrument. NGEU allows the European Commission to issue debt to finance grants and loans to EU Member States, with the disbursement of funds intended to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012521159
We study the determinants of sovereign bond spreads in the euro area since the introduction of the euro. We show that an aggregate risk factor is a main driver of spreads. This factor also plays an important indirect role for risk spreads through its interaction with the size and structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300391