Showing 1 - 10 of 13,561
characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in … market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and forecasting of market volatility. The implication is that models … that accomodate long memory hold the promise of improved long-run volatility forecast as well as accurate pricing of long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274140
Das in Finanzmarktdaten zu beobachtende volatility-clustering impliziert, daß große Renditeschocks bei der Preisbildung …The volatility clustering observed in financial market data implies that large net yield shocks increase the … probability of a higher future volatility during the price formation. Starting from the ARCH models which were suggested by Engle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296494
in return volatility of Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996) by introducing a possible volatility-in-mean effect. To avoid … that the long memory property of volatility carries over to returns, we consider a filtered FIEGARCH-in-mean (FIEGARCH …-M) effect in the return equation. The filtering of the volatility-in-mean component thus allows the co-existence of long memory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290338
volatility at the turn of the millennium when Japanese foreign exchange intervention started to remain unsterilized. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604696
describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270556
making up the Dow Jones Industrial Index, I calculate intraday upside and downside volatility measures, following Becker et … document that for all the stocks in the sample, mean daily returns following the days when a stock's upside volatility measure … was higher or equal to its downside volatility measure are higher than following the days when the opposite relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310234
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295725
As an asset is traded, its varying prices trace out an interesting time series. The price, at least in a general way, reflects some underlying value of the asset. For most basic assets, realistic models of value must involve many variables relating not only to the individual asset, but also to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270708
Conditional heteroskedasticity is an important feature of many macroeconomic and financial time series. Standard residual-based bootstrap procedures for dynamic regression models treat the regression error as i.i.d. These procedures are invalid in the presence of conditional heteroskedasticity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295743
(2000) is applied but generalised to account for weekly periodicities and time-varying volatility. Eventually we find a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299753