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, wirken sich in rund zwei Drittel der Fälle sofort auf den deutschen Aktienmarkt aus. Vor allem Daten zu Investitionen, Zahlen …
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This contribution analyzes bull and bear markets from 1954:1-2011:2 in the US-stock index S&P 500. Thereby, a 2-State-Markov-Switching model is applied to figure out bull and bear market regimes within the latter period, whereby the estimated state probabilities are used to estimate a dummy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286823
In this paper we have assessed an influence of the NYSE Stock Exchange indexes (DJIA and NASDAQ) and European Stock indexes (DAX and FTSE) on the Warsaw Stock Exchange index WIG within a framework of a GARCH model. By applying a procedure of checking predictive quality of econometric models as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277059
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This Policy Brief introduces the Gini Trade Index (GTI) as a new trade synthetic key performance indicator capable of capturing the different distribution of trade values across firm characteristics and across countries. The new indicator replicates the well-known features of the traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560170
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ungewöhnlich grossen Preisveränderung auf einem Aktienmarkt, wenn eine ungewöhnlich grosse Preisveränderung auf einem anderen Markt … starker gegenseitiger Abhängigkeit in Bezug auf den deutschen Aktienmarkt, während die Aktienmärkte in Grossbritannien und … Italien weniger eng mit dem deutschen Aktienmarkt verbunden sind. Viertens sind die Abhängigkeiten zwischen zwei Märkten …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295729
This paper uses an empirical connection between real stock market indices of Germany and the USA for forecasting corresponding returns. We are starting from the random walk as the traditional forecasting model in stock market applications, extending it by co-integration. Since the cointegrating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297288
The study concentrates on an analysis of the Czech stock market performed by an application of DCC MV GARCH model of Engle (2002). Data sample including years from 1994 to 2009 is represented by daily returns of Prague Stock Exchange index and other 11 major stock indices. There is found an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322302