Trotz des starken Rückgangs der Rohölpreise seit dem Herbst 2008 ist das Preisniveau mit gegenwärtig rund 60 US-Dollar pro Fass immer noch deutlich höher als im langfristigen Durchschnitt. Die Marktmacht der Organisation erdölexportierender Länder (OPEC) ist nach wie vor sehr groß und...

This paper proposes a partial equilibrium model to describe the global crude oil market. Pricing on the global crude oil market is strongly influenced by price indices such as WTI (USA) and Brent (Northwest Europe). Adapting an approach for pool-based electricity markets, the model captures the...

The mothballing option has been studied in the literature, but mainly in decision theoretic frameworks. This paper looks at it from a strategic point of view and applies it to an incumbent-entrant framework. In particular, based on the recent strategic interactions between OPEC and the shale oil...

Why did OPEC not cut oil production in the wake of 2014's price fall? This study aims at aiding the mostly qualitative discussion with quantitative evidence from computing quarterly partial market equilibria Q4 2011 – Q4 2015 under present short-term profit maximisation and different...

Der Preis für Rohöl hat sich seit der Jahrtausendwende erheblich erhöht. Für Deutschland wurde der Preisanstieg durch die Aufwertung des Euro gegenüber dem US-Dollar leicht gedämpft. Aus Sicht der Verbraucher macht sich der Ölpreisanstieg besonders deutlich an den Tankstellen bemerkbar....

US shale gas production is generally expected to continue its fast rise. However, a cautious evaluation is needed. Shale gas resource estimates are potentially overoptimistic and it is uncertain to which extent they can be produced economically. Moreover, the adverse environmental effects of...

Coal is at the core of the debate about climate change mitigation policies, yet the international market for it is not well represented in most energy models. This paper presents the COALMOD framework which is a model of the international steam coal market that can be readily used to explore...

As of late 2008, the steady decline of U.S. crude oil production over the last decades was reversed by the increased adoption of the hydraulic fracturing ("fracking") technology. Adapting the supply-side model proposed by Kaufmann et al. (2004) to assess OPEC's ability to influence real oil...