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In this paper we simultaneously estimate the real exchange rates between the Swedish Krona, the US Dollar and the Euro. A prime candidate for explaining the exchange rate movements is relative potential output. Since this variable is unobservable, cyclical and potential output are estimated in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320767
" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical …, cointegration issues, and a time variability of the NAIRU and its confidence intervals. Despite many serious caveats a new attempt … is made to estimate a NAIRU for Germany based on conventional Phillips curves as well as on new approaches such as using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297287
Several features of the U.S. natural rate of unemployment are reconsidered through specification and testing of econometric models. Traditionally, the choice has been between a wage Phillips curve model, PCM, or an equilibrium correction wage curve model, WECM. The models proposed in this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284368
Estimates of the NAIRU are usually derived either from a Phillips curve or from a wage curve. This paper investigates … the correspondence between the operational NAIRU-concepts and the steady state of a dynamic wage-price model. We derive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143566
It is often argued that Norway's sizeable net foreign assets based on its petroleum wealth imply an appreciation of its real exchange rate to a permanently strong level. We investigate this issue within the framework of the fundamental equilibrium real exchange rate (FEER) approach. It is shown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143630
This paper provides new estimates of a time?varying NAIRU for Germany taking account of the structural break caused by … inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is our suggestion, one … inflation target put forward by the European Central Bank. The estimates presented in this paper suggest that the NAIRU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297970
This paper estimates the non-increasing inflation rate of unemployment or NAIRU for New Zealand. A NAIRU that varies … over time has important implications in considering inflationary pressures. This paper estimates the time-varying NAIRU … specifications and dependent variables suggests a band of NAIRU estimates of between four and five percent (with further error bands …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115562
that the SNB's shift to a more inflation-targeted policy should have increased real-wage flexibility and lowered the NAIRU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933218
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933219
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933220