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debt crisis. It shows that a deterioration in countries’ fundamentals and fundamentals contagion – a sharp rise in the … spreads during the crisis, not only for euro area countries but globally. By contrast, regional spill overs and contagion have … been less important, including for euro area countries. The paper also finds evidence for herding contagion – sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605670
We examine contagion from a number of financial systems to the German financial system using the information content of … evidence for contagion from the US and European financial systems. Our results additionally confirm that the set up of the … financial rescue scheme in Germany partially shielded German banks but not insurance companies from contagion. Overall, our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308731
tests for contagion (i.e., an intensification in the transmission of shocks across countries), fragmentation (a reduction in … European Central Bank's (ECB's) announcement of its Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) program in 2012. At the same time …, Italy and Spain became more interdependent after the OMT announcement, providing our only evidence of contagion. While this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010520526
This paper sets the background for the Special Issue of the Journal of Empirical Finance on the European Sovereign Debt Crisis. It identifies the channel through which risks in the financial industry leaked into the public sector. It discusses the role of the bank rescues in igniting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011589251
This paper investigates contagion between bank risk and sovereign risk in Europe over the period 2006-2011. Since this … spillovers. We define contagion as excess correlation, i.e. correlation between banks and sovereigns over and above what is … of contagion by analyzing bank-specific as well as country-specific variables and their interaction. We provide empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506752
A 'lost decade' for the Eurozone is looming on the horizon. Under these circumstances, stable indicators for future economic activity are especially valuable to decision makers. This paper examines the predictive power of the yield spread, one of the most reliable indicators for gross domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011324710
Credit risk models should reflect the observation that the relevant value of collateral is generally not the average value of the asset over all possible states of nature. In most cases, the relevant value of collateral for the lender is its secondary market value in bad states of nature, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326422
The positive relationship between bank and sovereign credit risk in the Eurozone, the so-called sovereign-bank nexus, is seen as a major threat for the stability of the Eurozone. This paper explores potential bank-level and country-level drivers of this relationship. We find that banks' home...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011559990
the market perception of sovereign credit risk, whereas financial contagion appears to have exerted a non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605755
We analyze the market assessment of sovereign credit risk in an emerging market using a reduced-form model to price the credit default swap (CDS) spreads thus enabling us to derive values for the probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) from the quotes of sovereign CDS contracts....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605969