Through a survey of CEOs of Russian industrial companies administered in the second half of 2011 we have tried to understand the forces that lead some firms to decide to engage in more innovative activities than others and examined the types of routines associated with this decision. We found...

Most people seem to think that Russia's economy and fiscal situation are still crucially tied up with international oil prices and the exchange rate of the rouble, although this view has recently been challenged by some analysts.Empirical research on this topic is, however, scanty.In this paper,...

Distributions of many variables of interest in developed economic and financial markets, including income and wealth, exhibit heavy tails as in the case of Pareto or power laws. Many commonly used income and wealth inequality measures are very sensitive to extremes and outliers generated by...

Empirical analyses on inequality measurement and those in other fields in economics and finance often face the difficulty that the data is correlated, heterogeneous or heavy-tailed in some unknown fashion. The paper focuses on analogues and modifications of the recently developed t-statistic...

This article analyzes the current state of the Russian economy, which is characterized by a complex interplay of overheating, inflationary pressures, and the impact of international sanctions. Despite moderate GDP growth and low unemployment, the economy faces significant vulnerabilities,...

This Policy Letter presents two event studies based on the pre-war data that foreshadows the remarkable way in which Russian economy was able to withstand the pressure from unprecedented package of international sanctions. First, it shows that a sudden stop of one of the two domestic producers...

We consider the applicability of simple statistical models to Russia's short-term economic trends in a wartime context. We develop several composite indicators combining economic variables to predict Russian GDP trends both before and after the invasion if Ukraine in 2022. In addition, our SVAR...