This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using additive regression trees. We argue that regression tree models are ideally suited for macroeconomic nowcasting in the face of extreme observations, for instance those produced...

This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using additive regression trees. We argue that regression tree models are ideally suited for macroeconomic nowcasting in the face of extreme observations, for instance those produced...

In light of the profound changes that both the European economy and European politics have experienced since the global financial crisis of 2008, this policy paper intends to retrace the experience of Central, Eastern and Southeastern European (CESEE) countries with transition and catching-up...