In the transition periods between new technologies, marked setbacks in productivity growth are possible. Whereas new private goods are not fully visible in national accounts, often only their negative substitution effects turn up. If this is a market phenomenon, it should be reflected in weaker...

The Baltic states experienced strong economic growth and a rapid closing of the income gap with developed economies until the onset of the global fi nancial crisis. Since then they have seen a marked slowdown of economic growth. This raises the issue of whether the Baltic states might become...

In a cross section of OECD countries we replace the macroeconomic production function by a production possibility frontier, TFP being the composite effect of efficiency scores and possibility frontier changes. We consider, for the periods 1970, 1980, 1990, 2000, one output: GDP per worker; three...

In the report we analyse the reasons for the weakness of Finland’s economic performance over the past decade and assess the growth prospects in the coming 5 years. The weakness of Finland’s performance relative to comparative EU-countries since 2009 can largely be explained by the collapse...

Europe trails the global frontier of productivity growth and the region's trend is sluggish. Much prospective economic growth for Europe is likely to come from AI and its adoption by European firms which is projected to shoot up the productivity trend. For such AI-generated growth to work, high...

Structural transformation in most currently developing countries takes the form of a rapid rise in services but limited industrialization. In this paper, we propose a new methodology to structurally estimate productivity growth in service industries that circumvents the notorious difficulties in...

We examine the contribution of human capital to economy-wide technological improvements through the two channels of innovation and imitation. We develop a theoretical model showing that skilled labor has a higher growth-enhancing effect closer to the technological frontier under the reasonable...

Technischer Fortschritt und Humankapital sind die Triebfedern des langfristigen globalen Wachstums. Welche Rolle spielen sie im Rahmen der internationalen Arbeitsteilung? Wie wirkt sich die erwartete demographische Schrumpfung in den Industrieländern auf die Entwicklung des Humankapitals aus?...