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This paper presents a new mechanism through which monetary policy rules affect inflation persistence. When assuming that price reset hazard functions are not constant, backward-looking dynamics emerge in the NKPC. This new mechanism makes the traditional demand channel of monetary transmission...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305953
Most macroeconomic models for monetary policy analysis are approximated around a zeroinflation steady state, but most central banks target inflation at a rate of about 2 percent. Many economists have recently proposed even higher inflation targets to reduce the incidence of the zero lower bound...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333596
We estimate a multivariate unobserved components stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six exchange rates against the US Dollar. The empirical model is based on the assumption that both countries' monetary policy strategies may be well described by Taylor rules with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271235
Since 2000 U.S. inflation has remained both below target and silent to domestic slack and monetary interventions. A trend-cycle BVAR decomposition explores the role of imported intermediate goods in explaining the puzzling behaviour of inflation. The trend analysis shows that, starting from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373827
This paper presents a new mechanism through which monetary policy rules affect inflation persistence. When assuming that price reset hazard functions are not constant, backward-looking dynamics emerge in the NKPC. This new mechanism makes the traditional demand channel of monetary transmission...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281589
Determinacy of equilibrium under the original, the backward-looking, the forward-looking and the hybrid Phillips curves is examined. If the monetary authority keeps the nominal money stock to be constant, the equilibrium path is always determinate under the original Phillips curve and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332226
principle in one regime does not necessarily cause indeterminacy. Second, very different responses to inflation may trigger … indeterminacy even if both regimes satisfy the Taylor principle. Determinacy thus results from the adequacy between monetary regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215375
Empirical data show that firms tend to improve their ranking in the productivity distribution over time. A stickyprice model with firm-level productivity growth fits this data and predicts that the optimal long-run inflation rate is positive and between 1.5% and 2% per year. In contrast, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286841
in response solely to future inflation induce real indeterminacy of equilibrium. Applying the Samuelson … by itself has a quantitatively negligible effect and almost all strict inflation-targeting rules lead to indeterminacy … stickiness, indeterminacy is much less likely to occur as policy also responds to output. With estimated labor supply elasticity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260586
The uniqueness of bounded local equilibria under interest rate rules is analyzed in a model with sticky information à la Mankiw and Reis (2002). The main results are tighter bounds on monetary policy than in sticky-price models, irrelevance of the degree of output-gap targeting for determinacy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263742