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In Canada, targeting the inflation rate was intended as a temporary measure on a journey to price-level stability, but … account, changing beliefs about the stability or otherwise of ongoing inflation, the capacity of a flexible exchange rate to … inflation targeting arrived on the scene only after the Canadian regime was well established. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390730
inflation and output dynamics in the United States. In particular, I find that real money balance effects are quantitatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279877
that our "effective" approach is superior when it comes to assessing the impact of exchange rate regimes on inflation … trading partners. Using our measure of effective exchange rate regimes in a standard empirical analysis of inflation … associated with significantly lower inflation rates. This challenges the established view that soft pegs do not matter - or are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012623086
In Africa, a number of countries like South Africa have adopted inflation targeting. In Nigeria, different monetary … policy regimes have been adopted over the years with rather unsatisfactory success. This study examines inflation targeting … 2016. The study unravels evidence of a significant response of inflation and squared inflation to policy interest rates in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012657405
This paper compares the distributional effects of conventional monetary policy and quantitative easing (QE) within an estimated open-economy DSGE model of the euro area. The model includes two groups of households: (i) wealthier households, who own financial assets and can smooth consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012014522
allow money-demand shocks to generate volatility in output and inflation, much as was the case under the money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388833
This paper addresses difficulties in modelling exchange rates in South Africa. Real exchange rate models of earlier research seem to be sensitive to the sample period considered, alternative variable definition, data frequency and estimation methods. Alternative exchange rate models proposed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283582
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299140
This paper identifies five factors that can capture 95% of the variance across 39 US dollar exchange rates based on the principal component method. A time-varying parameter factor-augmented vector autoregressive (TVP-FAVAR) model is used to analyze the determinants of movements in these exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012254920
We use Bayesian estimation techniques to investigate whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the United States … including money growth in simple VAR models of inflation does systematically improve out-of-sample forecasting accuracy. This …. However, the contribution of money to inflation forecasting accuracy is quantitatively limited and tends to be smaller in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299139