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no impact on aggregate turnout. The point estimates are precise enough to rule out even moderately sized effects. By … regression discontinuity design with millions of observations suggests that advertising’s impact on elections is largely due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451410
expected net benefit from doing so. If this instrumental motive is relevant, then turnout should be higher in elections where … more is at stake. We test this prediction, by studying how turnout is affected by exogenous variation in governments …' financial flexibility to provide pork for their voters. By utilizing simultaneous elections for different offices, we identify a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274905
, we study how the host country's turnout affects expatriates' electoral participation in the 2017 Chilean Presidential … election. We focus on the 2014 European Parliament election turnout in the district of the Chilean's geocoded residence and … point increase in the host country's turnout decreases the electoral participation of Chilean expatriates by nearly 1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797245
In this short note, we use data from different elections in the German state of North-Rhine Westphalia between 1975 and … 2010 to show that the social democrats generally profit from higher voter turnout at the expense of the conservatives. We … deal with the endogeneity of voter turnout by using election day rain as an instrumental variable. Our particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010501783
expected net benefit from doing so. If this instrumental motive is relevant, then turnout should be higher in elections where … more is at stake. We test this prediction, by studying how turnout is affected by exogenous variation in governments …' financial flexibility to provide pork for their voters. By utilizing simultaneous elections for different offices, we identify a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143749
Do emotions affect the decision between change and the status quo? We exploit exogenous variation in emotions caused by rain and analyze data on more than 400 ballot propositions in Switzerland for the years 1958 to 2014 to address this question. The empirical tests are based on administrative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584665
The Impact of population mobility on provincial turnout rates in the 2011 Turkish parliamentary election is studied … turnout and education is inverse U-shaped, and between turnout and age (including generational effects), it is U … large number of parties, and existence of a dominant party depress the turnout rate. However, at destinations where large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586029
expected turnout and the winning margin in large elections. …We present a model of participation in large elections in which the formation of voter groups is endogenous. Partisan … activism and the importance of the election. In turn, the expected turnout and the winning margin in an election depend on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599379
differences between eastern and western Germany in terms of party attachments and actual turnout in national and state elections …. The gap in turnout at national elections is not only evident over the years but is also clearly recognizable across all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327890
differences between eastern and western Germany in terms of party attachments and actual turnout in national and state elections …. The gap in turnout at national elections is not only evident over the years but is also clearly recognizable across all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327893