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We set up and estimate a structural unobserved components open economy model for the rate of unemployment and the real exchange rate in Sweden. This approach enables us to simultaneously determine changes in both cyclical and equilibrium rates. Our results show that the Natural Rate/NAIRU has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321250
hypothesis that as GVCs expand, direct and indirect competition among economies increases, making domestic inflation more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657108
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the role of globalization - covering both changes in the global market structure and technical and structural developments in trade and production. In addition, the paper deals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551656
Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor model and in a sample spanning up to 56 countries during the 1960-2023 period. Over the entire period, a first global factor explains approximately 58% of the variation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015047278
On 11-12 May 2011, SUERF and the Belgian Financial Forum, in association with the Brussels Finance Institute and the Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) organized the 29th SUERF Colloquium “New Paradigms in Money and Finance?” All the papers in the present SUERF Study are based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689952
- often referred to as globalisation - has been taking place. In this article, we analyse the effects of globalisation on … inflation in OECD countries. We theoretically outline different channels through which globalisation may have influenced … globalisation has contributed to the disinflation process in OECD countries since the 1980s. Inflation rates became much less prone …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263812
Inflation volatility is clearly important for structural analysis, forecasting and policy purposes, yet it is often overlooked in the literature. This paper compares in ation volatility among advanced open economies with in ation targeting monetary policy frameworks. The results of the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422110
- often referred to as globalisation - has been taking place. In this paper, we analyse the effects of globalisation on … inflation in OECD countries. We theoretically outline different channels through which globalisation may have influenced … globalisation has contributed to the disinflation process in OECD countries since the 1980s. Inflation rates became much less prone …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790310
Dynamic econometric models are carefully built to analyse counterfactually the globalisation effect on inflation for … imports from low-cost emerging-market economies are mostly deflationary; and (iii) there is almost no direct globalisation … negative. Overall, globalisation is found to have contributed positively to lowering rather than stabilising inflation during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310714
the aim of analysing counterfactually the globalisation effect on inflation. The main findings are (i) the effect is … globalisation impact as far as inflation persistence is concerned while the impact on inflation variability can be positive as well … as negative. Overall, globalisation is found to have contributed positively to lowering rather than stabilising inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010314580