We propose behavioral learning equilibria as a plausible explanation of coordination of individual expectations and … the economy. The simplicity of behavioral learning equilibria makes coordination of individual expectations on such an …

interest rate rule, raising the possibility of inefficient fluctuations due to the dependence of expectations on extraneous … combine forward looking expectations and predetermined variables. We consider a variety of specifications that incorporate …

Biased longevity expectations will lead to suboptimal decisions regarding saving, retirement, annuitization and health …, with consequences for wellbeing in old age. Systematic differences in the accuracy of longevity expectations may partly … veracity of expectations are due to the less educated and cognitively able responding less to changes in objective mortality …

We use novel survey data to estimate how personal experiences affect household expectations about aggregate economic … systematically extrapolate from recent locally experienced home prices when asked for their expectations about US house price changes … distribution over expected future national house price movements. We find similar results for labor market expectations, where we …

This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of …

Previous experimental investigations have shown that expectations are not perfectly rational due to bias. Traditional … adaptive models, however, in many cases do not perfectly describe the formation of expectations either. This paper makes two … contributions to the experimental literature on the formation of expectations: First, we investigate whether subjects who have more …