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good for the domestic demand. Furthermore, when energy prices increase approximately 20 %, the quarterly GDP growth falls …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307203
Since the oil price shocks of the 1970s, several studies have found significant impacts of oil prices on macro variables. However, it is particularly crucial to know how each micro sector in an economy, such as the residential, transport, industrial and non-energy sectors, respond to oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011311035
Since the oil price shocks of the 1970s, several studies have found significant impacts of oil prices on macro variables. However, it is particularly crucial to know how each micro sector in an economy, such as the residential, transport, industrial and non-energy sectors, respond to oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011311036
This paper analyses the impact of oil both price shocks on the GDP and prices in the Spanish economy and its seventeen … the 1970s until the mid 1990s. For Spain, the influence of oil shocks recovers some of its initial importance for the GDP … mentioned regions, the influence of oil price shocks on the GDP progressively disappears; while the impact on CPI decreases from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011332599
Empirical evidence indicates that high oil price volatility has a dampening effect on output in countries that import commodities. Many countries, however, gain important revenues from commodity exports. This paper investigates the output effects of commodity price volatility in commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011345585
This paper develops a 9-dimensional SVAR to investigate the sources of the U.S. business cycle. We extend the standard set of identified shocks to include unexpected changes in commodity prices. Our main result is that commodity price shocks are a very important driving force of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390656
In this paper we use the frequency domain Granger causality test of Breitung/Candelon (2006) to analyse short and long-run causality between energy prices and prices of food commodities. We find that the oil price Granger causes all the considered food prices. However, when controlling for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010329328
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335316
This paper examines the relationship among real GDP, CO2 emissions, and energy use in the six Gulf Cooperation Council …, Oman, and Qatar) the predominance of the "growth hypothesis" emerges, since energy use drives the real GDP. Moreover, only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011559206
This paper reinvestigates the influence of oil price uncertainty on real economic activity in the U.S. using a four-variable VAR, GARCH-in-mean, asymmetric BEKK model. In contrast to previous studies in this area, the analysis focuses on business cycle fluctuations and we control for global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011610002