Showing 1 - 10 of 2,378
We investigate the theoretically proposed link between judgmental overconfidence and trading activity. In addition to … the relevant bias in the theoretical overconfidence literature. We relate the obtained overconfidence measures to trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291808
relatively. We test three different theories about observed relative overconfidence. The first theory notes that simple … asymmetry produces overconfidence (Kőszegi, 2006; Weinberg, 2006). We test an important specific prediction of these models … might make this belief worse. Our data also reject this prediction. The third theory is that overconfidence is induced by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269888
overconfidence and linked to the judgment literature in psychology. Empirical tests of the models often fail to find evidence for the … predicted effects of overconfidence. These studies assume, however, that a specific type of overconfidence, i.e., miscalibration … the theoretical predictions of the overconfidence literature in economics and finance, one cannot rely on the well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281612
This paper examines financial professionals' overconfidence in their forecasting performance. We are the first to … show overconfidence on average. In analyzing this, we find an easing relation to experience. Job characteristics are also … related to less overconfidence, such as being a fund manager and using fundamental analysis. The same effect is found for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270051
We analyze how subjects’ self-assessment depends on whether its accuracy is observable to others. We find that women downgrade their selfassessment given observability while men do not. Women avoid the shame they may have if others observe that they overestimated themselves. Men, however, do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427624
Recent field evidence suggests a positive link between overconfidence and innovative activities. In this paper we argue … that the connection between overconfidence and innovation is more complex than the previous literature suggests. In … particular, we show theoretically and experimentally that different forms of overconfidence may have opposing effects on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316868
Recent field evidence suggests a positive link between overconfidence and innovative activities. In this paper we argue … that the connection between overconfidence and innovation is more complex than the previous literature suggests. In … particular, we show theoretically and experimentally that different forms of overconfidence may have opposing effects on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291552
We discuss several multivariate extensions of the Multiplicative Error Model to take into account dynamic interdependence and contemporaneously correlated innovations (vector MEM or vMEM). We suggest copula functions to link Gamma marginals of the innovations, in a specification where past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755372
. Higher risk taking may be explained by a higher degree of overconfidence, less herding behavior, or a lower degree of risk … overconfidence is mixed. We will argue that this mixed evidence may be likely due to the heterogeneity in the employed definitions of … risk taking and overconfidence. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261673
exchange. Two sentiment indicators are considered, the overconfidence and the net optimism-pessimism indicator. Non … react rapidly and asymmetrically to changes in overconfidence sentiment, while the optimism and pessimism sentiment has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011988718