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Bond yield and retail interest rate spreads are presumed to lead real activity on the basis of financial accelerator mechanisms, markup cyclicality or simply because they are forward-looking. Empirical results for Austria show that retail rate spreads outperform many other indicators in this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294615
The paper sets the neoclassical monetary business cycle model within endogenous growth, adds exchange credit shocks, and finds that money and credit shocks explain much of the velocity variation. The role of the shocks varies across sub-periods in an intuitive fashion. Endogenous growth is key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322477
The explanation of velocity in neoclassical monetary business cycle models relies on a goods productivity shocks to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322765
Serious life events, such as the loss or the onset of a chronic condition may influence cognitive functioning. We examine whether the cognitive impact of such events is stronger if conditions very early in life were adverse, using Dutch lnogitudinal data of older persons. We exploit exogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273982
Over the past two decades, technological progress has been biased towards making skilled labor more productive. What does skill-biased technological change imply for business cycles? To answer this question, we construct a quarterly series for the skill premium from the CPS and use it to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276400
information on demographics, socio-economic conditions, life events, health, and cognitive functioning. We exploit exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277333
eliminating frictions that hamper efficient allocation of resources in factor markets can be seen as a positive shock that will …-infrastructure capital appears robust and productivity growth potentially strong, timely reforms that eliminate structural bottlenecks will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432712
money demand falls, while a positive goods productivity shock raises temporary output and velocity. The paper explains such … important for velocity during less stable times and the goods productivity shock more important during stable times. … decentralized banking that produces exchange credit. Positive shocks to credit productivity and money supply increase velocity, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494417
This paper represents a first attempt to study China’s business cycles using a formal analytical framework, namely, a structural VAR model. It is found that: (a) demand shocks were the dominant source of macroeconomic fluctuations, but supply shocks had gained more importance over time; (b) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284541
rate and the unemployment rate? In the model, fluctuations are prominently driven by productivity shocks which are commonly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265223